Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.543121 1.670909 1.806123 1.960161 2.131163 2.315600 2.530144
2025-12-28 1.351681 1.527824 1.724636 1.962038 2.242227 2.564344 2.965500
2026-01-04 1.235807 1.441438 1.680638 1.981896 2.354651 2.805322 3.398462
2026-01-11 1.152707 1.378776 1.650440 2.004920 2.461171 3.036928 3.831955
2026-01-18 1.085511 1.326212 1.623541 2.023501 2.556299 3.254653 4.261660
2026-01-25 1.023682 1.273599 1.589736 2.026439 2.626123 3.439326 4.659156
2026-02-01 0.953397 1.204099 1.527550 1.984421 2.628175 3.526997 4.922460
2026-02-08 0.897426 1.149078 1.479693 1.956422 2.644542 3.632208 5.217039
2026-02-15 0.853537 1.107068 1.445893 1.944145 2.680161 3.765245 5.563774
2026-02-22 0.831526 1.093088 1.448947 1.983178 2.791988 4.019206 6.126442
2026-03-01 0.795349 1.057162 1.418665 1.970807 2.824206 4.151141 6.499964
2026-03-08 0.758756 1.018583 1.382150 1.946188 2.834597 4.247457 6.820311
2026-03-15 0.711787 0.963590 1.319933 1.880187 2.777081 4.231568 6.946829
2026-03-22 0.688618 0.941865 1.305258 1.886094 2.834917 4.411802 7.449821
2026-03-29 0.670911 0.927114 1.299890 1.905705 2.915853 4.637386 8.064445
2026-04-05 0.655108 0.914282 1.296481 1.927741 3.001733 4.878232 8.738568
2026-04-12 0.639319 0.900613 1.290871 1.945445 3.080832 5.113029 9.430600
2026-04-19 0.621048 0.882272 1.276935 1.948243 3.133457 5.302670 10.052477
2026-04-26 0.594194 0.849591 1.238880 1.908257 3.106447 5.338052 10.342597
2026-05-03 0.572016 0.823271 1.209712 1.881605 3.101461 5.414922 10.734315
2026-05-10 0.554396 0.803382 1.189950 1.869918 3.122994 5.545529 11.266886
2026-05-17 0.547954 0.800831 1.198073 1.907074 3.238514 5.876259 12.324604
2026-05-24 0.531958 0.782384 1.179230 1.895299 3.259250 6.012075 12.922726